Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Is cash risky for a long term investment?

A recent study shown by Bankrate, which is a leading publisher of financial information that offers in depth financial content, has shown that twenty-five percent of Americans favor cash as a choice of investment that is needed for ten years or longer. Twenty-three percent chose real estate as an investment choice, sixteen percent chose gold or other metals that would have value while only fourteen percent would choose stocks to invest in and eight percent in bonds. This shows that cash beat stocks and real estate as a preferred long term investment.
Even though cash seems like a great investment choice now, there are some retirement risks for current and future retirees. The biggest financial risk retiree’s face is outliving their money. It is scary to know that a 3% rate of inflation will cut purchasing power of assets in half within 24 years. Someone retiring after the age of 60, which is currently the most common retirement age, would lose half their purchasing power in their investment assets by the age of 90. It is also safe to assume that one person in a couple will live to 90 or more, which means half their purchasing of their investment. Social security and some governmental pensions don’t include a cost of living increase provision while some COLA (cost of living adjustments) adjustments seem to lag inflation( which would be more suitable in the future do to the current state of the federal budget). Some retirees’ have it bad since some private companies don’t have COLA provisions, so they are basically losing out to inflation from the first day. For many retirees, a significant portion of their retirement cash flow comes from withdrawals from their investments like taxable accounts, tax-deferred accounts like 401(k)’s and IRA’s. If these accounts are invested in cash, then the investments will lag inflation. On top of that adding taxes to these withdrawals will wipe out their cash faster than thought. Risk tolerance is a key factor in a balanced approach to retirement investments. Thus the ‘bucketing’ approach has been called upon which involves having liquid cash to ensure spending needs, so that the retiree doesn't need to go into their equity holdings. There are different types of buckets that can be used depending on your risk tolerance. Some “buckets” might entail medium risk investments like bonds while some “buckets” that are riskier might hold stocks for growth beyond inflation. According to Bankrate, an average money-market deposit yields .11% so with an initial investment of $10,000 one would only gain $110.55 in a ten year span which is not much at all. Greg McBride, the senior financial analyst of Bankrate, advises to invest more in the stock market since it is better in the long run. With cash investments you’re going to earn a low return which may be riskier later on. In the long run, safe investments like bonds and cash will never protect an investor against the risk of inflation.

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